Part 1 of this series covering the Reagan years can be found here. This post relies on data from the following sources: Federal Income Tax Rates History, Social Security and MedicareTax Rates, Historical Capital Gains and Taxes and Party Control of Congress and the Presidency. In the first part we pointed out that Reagan under the tutelage of Ayn Rand lover Alan Greenspan flattened the tax code to just two rates: 15% for anyone making less than $56,427. and 28% for anyone making more than that amount. This effectively raised taxes on the poor and lowered them on the rich compared to the day Reagan entered office when the tax rate was zero on the poor and 70% on the rich. Reagan and Greenspan also drastically raised Medicare and Social Security (payroll) taxes which affect mainly the poor and middle class. Bush Sr served from 1989 till 1992 when Clinton took over. In 1991 under a Democratic Congress, Bush Sr raised taxes despite his pledge not to. Remember his campaign promise: "Read my lips. No new taxes." However, despite the big brou ha ha, Bush did not raise income taxes on the poor and middle class; he only raised them on the rich. You would think that, if the middle class and poor were paying attention, they would have been satisfied with this development and reelected Bush in 1992. But the Republicans and right wing media talking heads raised such a hue and cry, convincing voters that Bush Sr had raised taxes on all people and not just the top few percent, that Bush was defeated and Clinton elected. What Bush did was to add a third tax bracket of 31% for incomes over $135,336 while leaving unchanged the two lower tax brackets. Bush "unflattened" the tax code slightly which should have raised a cheer among the middle class, but it didn't due to the fact that they were convinced by the right wing punditry that Bush raised taxes period, end of story. They didn't distinguish whom Bush raised taxes on. They only paid attention long enough to understand that Bush raised taxes.
Bush Sr also raised FICA and SECA (Social Security and Medicare) taxes. These went from 7.150% for employees and employers in 1987 to 7.51 in 1988 and 1999. The corresponding rates for the self-employed went from 14.3% in 1987 to 15.02% in 1988 and 1989. So what Bush gave with one hand to the poor and middle class in the form of not raising their income taxes, he took away with the other by raising FICA and SECA taxes which affect mainly the poor and middle class. The net effect was to make the total tax burden on the middle class as great or greater than the tax burden on the rich since the rich pay little FICA and SECA tax compared to their total income. Bush Sr and the Republicans were at it again in 1990, a year in which they raised FICA and SECA taxes to 7.65% for employees and employers and 15.3% for self-employed where they have remained to this day. So Bush Sr was not such a traitor to his class as one might think from just considering the income tax structure alone. The net effect was that he raised taxes on the poor and middle class much more than he raised them on the rich.
Bush Sr had a Democrat controlled Congress during his four year term and they managed to raise the capital gains tax from 28% to 28.93% in 1991, a piddling amount compared to the huge decreases which were to come later during the Bush Jr administration. So the rich had their capital gains taxes raised for the last year of the Bush Sr administration through no fault of Bush's own. It was the Democrats who pushed this tax increase through.
Clinton took over in 1993 and with a Democratic Congress unflattened the tax code even more adding two tax brackets at the high end. The following is the tax table for married couples filing jointly, inflation adjusted.
Table 1 - 1993 - Married Filing Jointly
Marginal Tax Brackets
Tax Rate Over But Not Over
15.0% $0 $57,298
28.0% $57,298 $138,432
31.0% $138,432 $217,392
36.0% $217,392 $388,200
39.6% $388,200 -
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Despite the fact that Clinton raised only taxes on the rich and kept them the same on the poor and middle class, a fact that the vast majority of voters should have been happy with, Republicans managed to tag Clinton and the Democrats with the "tax and spend" and "big government" labels. FICA and SECA taxes remained the same under Clinton.
In 1994, half way into Clinton's first term, Republicans took over control of Congress. Despite that fact the income tax code remained substantially unchanged for the rest of Clinton's Presidency with the result that, by the time Clinton left office in 2000, there was a budget surplus and the nation was on track to eliminate the national debt entirely.
Capital gains taxes were a different story. They went from 28.93% in 1991 to 29.19% in 1993. The poor and middle class swallowed the Republican hogwash about Clinton raising their taxes and elected a Republican Congress in 1994. The Republican Congress slashed the capital gains tax all the way back to 21.19% in 1997 where it stayed for the remainder of the Clinton Presidency. So despite the fact that during the Clinton years income taxes were raised on the rich, capital gains taxes which affect primarily the rich were substantially reduced. The net result was that taxes on the rich were effectively lowered and despite that fact Clinton was able to run budget surpluses during his last few years in office. Go figure!
George W Bush was elected in 2000. Then the tax cutting which led to huge deficits began - with a vengeance. "You know how to spend your own money better than the government does." The Republicans were great at formulating slogans and defining the situation. What were the Democrats supposed to say to that: "The government knows better how to spend your money than you do"? Consequently, in 2001 the top tax rate was lowered by .5% from 39.6% to 39.1%. The middle three tax rates were lowered .1%, and the tax rate for the poor, the lowest tax bracket was not lowered at all. The net effect was to give the rich a big tax cut, the middle class a modest tax cut and the poor no tax cut. Here is the tax table:
Table 2 - 2001 - Married Filing Jointly
Marginal Tax Brackets
Tax Rate Over But Not Over
15.0% $0 $57,267
27.5% $57,267 $138,416
30.5% $138,416 $210,950
35.5% $210,950 $376,732
39.1% $376,732
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In 2002 another half a percent was cut for the four highest tax brackets and in addition a new bracket was added at the bottom thus reducing taxes on the poor to 10% up till an income of $14,967. The 15% tax bracket was the only one not cut thus making a mockery out of tax cuts for the middle class. Here is the tax table for 2002:
Table 3 - 2002 - Married Filing Jointly
Marginal Tax Brackets
Tax Rate Over But Not Over
10.0% $0 $14,967
15.0% $14,967 $58,246
27.0% $58,246 $140,752
30.0% $140,752 $214,464
35.0% $214,464 $382,967
38.6% $382,967
In 2003 there was another tax cut ... of course ... but only for the rich and upper middle class, not for the middle class or the poor!! 3.6% was cut off the top tax rate! 2% was cut from the next three tax rates leaving the bottom two tax rates all the way up to an income of $69,265 virtually untouched!! All the while the right wing propaganda machine was out to convince everyone that Bush Jr was cutting taxes for E..V..E..R..Y..B..O..D..Y. Here are the sad results:
Table 4 - 2003 - Married Filing Jointly
Marginal Tax Brackets
Tax Rate Over But Not Over
10.0% $0 $17,072
15.0% $17,072 $69,265
25.0% $69,265 $139,810
28.0% $139,810 $213,039
33.0% $213,039 $380,409
35.0% $380,409
After 2003 the income tax cutting frenzy for the rich was over at least for the remaining years of the Bush Jr administration. The 2003 tax table was for all intents and purposes the tax structure that President Obama inherited when he became President in 2009. The same tax structure remains in effect till this day, Obama having failed to end the Bush tax cuts due to Republican intransigence and obstructionism and to raise the top rate back to the 39.5% that it was in the last years of the Clinton administration. As a consequence structural budget deficits continue to add immense sums to the national debt, and there is Republican pressure to cut spending on social programs like Social Security, Medicaid and Medicare but, of course, they don't want to reduce spending on the military. Obama may force their hand by ending the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and talking up his desire on the campaign stump to spend half the savings on deficit reduction and half on rebuilding infrastructure, but he will need a Democrat controlled Congress to do anything of the sort.
In addition to the Bush Jr income tax cuts for the rich, he also cut capital gains taxes substantially during his term in office, an even greater boon to the rich than the income tax cuts. Capital gains taxes went from 21.19% in 2000 to 21.17% in 2001 and 21.16% in 2002. Then in 2003 they went all the way down to 16.05%. That was followed by a drop to 15.07% in 2006 and further down to 15.35% in 2008 where they remain today. The combined income and capital gains tax cuts which benefitted primarily the rich produced disastrous budget deficits, and, since structurally the Bush tax cuts remain in effect, the Obama administration is forced to run huge budget deficits which Republicans disingenuously blame him for although they refuse to raise taxes on the rich or let the Bush tax cuts expire which would ameliorate the situation.
Raising the top income tax rate back to 39.5% and the capital gains tax back to 28.93% (an almost doubling of capital gains tax) where they were under the Clinton administration would do a huge amount to eliminate the budget deficits that Obama is unfairly being tagged with. Adding more tax brackets for incomes above $382,967 where the highest rate now kicks in would also provide even more desperately needed revenue. Today when the Fortune 400 is composed exclusively of billionaires, tax brackets in the millions and billions of dollars are appropriate and only fair. Obama has presented this rather cleverly as the Buffet rule: a boss shouldn't be effectively taxed less than his secretary. Today most billionaires pay an effective tax rate around 15% since most of their income is composed of capital gains. The only way to implement the Buffet rule is to raise the capital gains tax since the income tax no matter how high it becomes for millionaires and billionaires will hardly affect them. In addition a financial transaction tax could raise as much as $100-$200 billion a year.


























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