Decrease spending on Defense and Corporate Welfare and Increase Spending on Job Creation and the Safety Net. Increase revenues from Corporations and the Wealthy.
by John Lawrence
Everyone is concerned about creating a 2012 budget that will get the US annual deficit and finally the national debt under control. Republican Paul Ryan has proposed one that would balance the budget on the backs of the poor and middle class while voucherizing Medicare and giving tax breaks to the wealthy. President Obama has proposed one that would keep Medicare the way it is and raise taxes slightly on millionaires and billionaires. Then the progressive Democratic caucus has proposed the "People's Budget," which is the virtual opposite of the Paul Ryan budget. All these plans would decrease the deficit over a period of time.
First, a little background on how we got into this mess. Number one: a bloated Defense Department whose budget has doubled in size since 2001. Second, Bush tax cuts for the rich. Bush dropped the top rate from 39.6% to 35%. To be fair Bush also dropped the lowest tax rate from 15% to 10%. So the Bush tax cuts were across the board, but the rich profited most from the cuts. Bush also finagled the income ranges to which the rates applied. For instance, the Clinton 15% rate applied to incomes up to $43,050. The Bush 10% rate applied to incomes only up to $12,000. Then the 15% rate kicked in for incomes up to $46,700. So the Bush rates did nothing for the middle class; they were essentially the same as the Clinton rates. Bush also lowered taxes on capital gains. Clinton kept the top capital gains tax rate at 28% until 1997, when he agreed to lower it to 20%. President Bush lowered it to 15% in 2003. Capital gains revenues increased by 0.7% of GDP from 1994 through 2000 under President Clinton, and they fell to 0.6% of GDP from 2000 to 2004 under President Bush. Under Bush the estate tax was reduced from 55% to 35% and the exclusionary amount was increased from $675,000 to $5 million.
Third, tax revenues from corporations went from 30 percent in the mid-1950s to 6.6 percent today thanks to loopholes drilled into the tax code by lobbyists. So corporations are not paying their fair share by historical standards. Fourth, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan started by Bush were unfunded which means they were just added to the deficit. These represent a structural built-in ongoing deficit. Fifth, Bush's Part D drug plan for Medicare recipients was just added to the deficit. Cheney, notably said, "Reagan proved deficits don't matter." Ha! Sixth, Bush signed into law the TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Plan) which was a $700 billion bank bailout although most of this is expected to be paid back. Seventh, in order to prevent a world wide economic meltdown, Obama enacted the American Recovery and Reinvestment ACT (ARRA). However, there are no long term effects of this on the deficit after 2011.
On the other hand Bush policies are ongoing and structural, and, until they are changed, will significantly affect deficits for years to come. This is from "Critics Still Wrong on What's Driving Deficits in Coming Years":
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Bush Tax Cuts, War Costs Do Lasting Harm to Budget Outlook
Some commentators blame recent legislation — the stimulus bill and the financial rescues — for today’s record deficits. Yet those costs pale next to other policies enacted since 2001 that have swollen the deficit. Those other policies may be less conspicuous now, because many were enacted years ago and they have long since been absorbed into CBO’s and other organizations’ budget projections.
Just two policies dating from the Bush Administration — tax cuts and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan — accounted for over $500 billion of the deficit in 2009 and will account for almost $7 trillion in deficits in 2009 through 2019, including the associated debt-service costs. (The prescription drug benefit enacted in 2003 accounts for further substantial increases in deficits and debt, which we are unable to quantify due to data limitations.) These impacts easily dwarf the stimulus and financial rescues. Furthermore, unlike those temporary costs, these inherited policies (especially the tax cuts and the drug benefit) do not fade away as the economy recovers (see Figure 1).
Without the economic downturn and the fiscal policies of the previous Administration, the budget would be roughly in balance over the next decade. That would have put the nation on a much sounder footing to address the demographic challenges and the cost pressures in health care that darken the long-run fiscal outlook.
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So now that we have established that Bush is to blame for much of ouir budgetary woes, the question is what to do about it. I agree with former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill who said on Meet the Press on Easter Sunday that he favored a VAT. I recently blogged about the need for a VAT tax here. It's nice to be corroborated by such an eminence gris as Paul O'Neill. But a VAT would at one and the same time solve a myriad of problems. It would eliminate the lobbyists on Capitol Hill whose only purpose is to drill holes in the tax code for special interests. It would act as a tariff eliminating the advantages of manufacturing overseas and importing into the American market. It would eliminate corporations playing one state off against another or one municipality against another on tax breaks as a quid pro quo for plant location. It would make it less profitable for corporations to locate factories in foreign countries where labor is cheaper and tax advantages are greater. The question is what do corporations most want to do? The answer is they want to sell into the American market. The VAT is the only tax that taxes this privilege. What does it matter whether foreign or domestic corporations locate plants in the US as long as they provide jobs and pay taxes?
They are all transnational corporations anyway locating plants and selling into markets all over the world. Let American corporations leave the country and let other foreign corporations take their place here. So what?
The incentive structure with a VAT would be such that it would be to the advantage of corporations to locate here as there would be no advantage to locating elsewhere and then importing into the American market. The sooner our politicians figure this out, the better we'll all be in terms of jobs and corporate tax revenues. Make them pay for the privilege of selling into the American market, the largest consumer market in the world. The VAT would have so many benefits and advantages that no wonder it is not even being considered by the nincompoops who run the country. Lowering corporate tax rates and closing loopholes, as Obama and Ryan want to do, would not work since corporate lobbyists would then drill new loopholes (after all that is their job) albeit at the lower tax rate.
Secondly, if a VAT is not enacted, there are tons of loopholes that need to be eliminated. How about an alternative minimum tax for corporations that would have them pay a certain percentage of profits no matter what? Too many corporations including the most profitable, GE and Exxon Mobil, pay absolutely no taxes at all. Third, create higher tax brackets for millionaires and billionaires. It's ridiculous that John Paulson who made $5 billion in 2010 should pay at the same rate as someone who made $375,000. But that's not the worst of it since he paid at the even smaller rate of 15% because his income was all capital gains. Capital gains and dividends should be taxed as ordinary income with higher tax brackets for millionaires and billionaiures.
For social security the answer is simple. Means test it and raise the cap. Right now no FICA taxes are paid on incomes over about $100 K. Let it apply to total income not just the first $100 K. That's called raising the cap. And no one with retirement income of over $250 K needs to collect it unless all of a sudden they lose part of their income. Then social security could kick in for them. In other words for high rollers it would still be an insurance policy. Problem solved. Republican Eric Cantor has said, rightfully in my opinion, that right now we're providing a social safety net for people who don't even need it. So I would agree with him and not have the government pay out social security benefits to anyone with a retirement income of $250,000. although these individuals should pay in during their working years because they don't know what their retirement income will be. And in the event that they go bust, social security would be available to them. It just would not be available to those who are fortunate enough to have become wealthy.
The same applies for Medicare. Those who have retirement incomes of over $250,000. should not get Medicare. They can well afford to buy health insurance on the private market. Thom Hartmann disagrees with Cantor on the grounds that if the wealthy opt out of Medicare, Medicare would not have enough money to function. Poppeycock! First of all the wealthy are only 1% to 5% of the population. this means that 95% would still be paying in. Second of all, the wealthy would be paying in anyway during their working years because nobody knows - including them - whether or not they will be wealthy in retirement. Medicare's costs can be brought under control by creating a public option and using government's purchasing power to negotiate downward the price of prescription drugs. Health care costs in general need to be brought under control. Medical technology, much of it of dubious value, continues to be invented which drives up the cost of health care. Technologies need to be considered as much for their cost as for their supposed benefits and some rational decision made about what will be supported under Medicare.
A Financial Transactions Tax could bring in $100 billion a year. In 1936 during the Great Depression John Maynard Keynes advocated the use of a financial transactions tax on the dealings of Wall Street. He said it would help control excessive speculation by uninformed financial traders and reduce volatility. In an article,"1000 Economists Call for a Financial Transactions Tax," by Richard Murphy, published April 13, 2011, we find:
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1,000 economists (with me included in that number) have written to the G20 and Bill Gates to call for a financial transaction tax.
We said:
Dear G20 Finance Ministers and Bill Gates,
We write to you as the call for a Financial Transaction Tax is now gathering global momentum, and the French government has made it a key priority for their G20 presidency.
This tax is an idea that has come of age. The financial crisis has shown us the dangers of unregulated finance, and the link between the financial sector and society has been broken. It is time to fix this link and for the financial sector to give something back to society.
Even at very low rates of 0.05% or less, this tax could raise hundreds of billions of dollars annually and calm excessive speculation. The UK already levies a tax on share transactions of 0.5%, or ten times this rate, without unduly impacting on the competitiveness of the City of London.
This money is urgently needed to raise revenue for global and domestic public goods such as health, education and water, and to tackle the challenge of climate change.
Given the automation of payments, this tax is technically feasible. It is morally right.
We call on you to implement the FTT as a matter of urgency.
Yours.
More on this here.
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Government subsidies to large scale agricultural corporations and oil companies should be eliminated. No one making a profit should get any subsidy. Subsidies should only go to businesses who are creating jobs or creating new businesses like alternative energy, in other words, which are involved in the economy in ways that are constructive. In general the same applies for business as for individuals: we shouldn't be supplying a safety net for those who don't need it.
The People's Budget also would solve most of the problems. Here it is in a nutshell:
Individual Income Tax Policies
• Allow the Bush-era tax cuts to expire at the end of 2012, but extend marriage relief, credits, and
incentives for children, families, and education
• Immediately rescind the upper-income tax cuts in December’s tax deal
• Index the AMT for inflation for a decade (the AMT patch is fully paid for)
• Schakowsky millionaire tax rates proposal (adding 45%, 46%, 47%, 48%, and 49% top rates)
• Tax all capital gains and qualified dividends as ordinary income
• Progressive estate tax (Sanders’ estate tax, repeal of Kyl-Lincoln)
• Limit the rate at which itemized deductions can reduce tax liability to 28% for high earners
• Replace the tax exclusion for interest on state and local bonds with a subsidy for the issuer
Corporate Tax Reform
• Tax U.S. corporate foreign income as it is earned
• Eliminate corporate welfare for oil, gas, and coal companies
• Enact a financial crisis responsibility fee
• Financial speculation tax (derivatives, foreign exchange)
• Reinstate Superfund taxes
Health Care
• Enact a public option
• Negotiate Rx payments with pharmaceutical companies
• CMS program integrity and other Medicare and Medicaid savings in the president’s budget
• Prevent a cut in Medicare physician payments for a decade (maintain doc fix)
Social Security
• Raise the taxable maximum on the employee side to 90% of earnings and eliminate the taxable
maximum on the employer side
• Increase benefits based on higher contributions on the employee side
Defense Savings
• End overseas contingency operations emergency supplementals starting in Fiscal Year 2013,
providing $170 billion in FY2012 to fund redeployment, while saving more than $1.8 trillion
from current law spending levels over ten years.
• Reduce baseline defense spending by reducing strategic capabilities, conventional forces,
procurement, and R&D programs
Comprehensive Jobs Program
• Invest $1.45 trillion in job creation, education, clean energy and broadband infrastructure,
housing, and R&D
• Infrastructure bank
• Surface transportation reauthorization bill ($213 billion)
(End of People's Budget)
So the hallmarks of any budget which would bring the deficit under control are
1) Cut defense spending.
2) Cut corporate welfare in terms of subsidies and loopholes.
3) Increase taxes on millionaires and billionaires.
4) Raise the cap on social security and means test the payouts.
5) Include a public option for Medicare and use the power of the Federal government to negotiate drug prices. Means test Medicare. The wealthy can afford to buy private health insurance.
6) Invest in infrastructure and alternative energy.
The Republican Paul Ryan's budget is just the opposite of the above. He wants to cut taxes for millionares, billionaires and corporations, increase defense spending, cut spending on social services and education for the poor and middle class and privatize Social Security and Medicare. Obama's budget (dare we call it Obamanomics) would place a five year freeze on non-security discretionary spending, increase the defense budget slightly, cut low income home energy assistance and community service block grants and preserve Medicare and Social Security as we know it. He would raise taxes somewhat on banks and oil companies. He preserves Pell grants and R&D spending. He would reform the tax code for corporations, eliminate loopholes and lower the tax rate.
In short Mr. Obama's budget is halfway between Paul Ryan's budget and the People's budget. He makes some modest reforms and preserves Social Security, Medicare and Pell grants. The problem with Obama's budget is that it doesn't go far enough in any direction and it actually hurts the poor and middle class although modestly and not drastically like the Paul Ryan budget which balances the budget on the backs of the poor and middle class while giving tax breaks to the wealthy. The People's budget gets closer to the core of the problem.
The only ways I would differ with the People's Budget are that I would means test Social Security and Medicare on the theory that those who can afford to pay should not get a taxpayer subsidy. For example, for those who have retirement incomes over $250,000., they can well afford to not receive an extra $1000. a month in social security income. And they can well afford to buy medical insurance on the private market. Let's not pretend that the wealthy need the assistance of these programs. On defense spending I suggest we go back to the defense budget in 2000 of around $300 billion. This amounts to approximately a 50% reduction in defense spending. I also propose closing half of the 1000 bases located around the world. We do not need to be the world's policeman. I support the Schakowsky millionaire tax rates proposal except I would definitely have an even higher rate for billionaires. I also support a VAT tax to eliminate corporate lobbyists drilling holes in the tax code no matter how "reformed" it is and to correct the imbalance in the trade deficit. I am a big believer in the need for Federal government investment in infrastructure particularly alternative energy development and high speed rail. Incentives should be given, as they were in Germany, for individuals and families to develop solar and wind on their individual properties to the maximum extent not only for their own use but to sell back into the grid. This way the profits from the sale of energy would not be concentrated in a few energy corporations but be widely distributed. This would result in a distribution of wealth as opposed to a redistribution of wealth. The government should facilitate this.
Social Choice and Beyond